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In the closing days of the 2016 election cycle, much of the elite media created and promoted the illusion that then-candidate Donald Trump had little hope of winning the presidency, and would likely, in the words of GQ's Jim Nelson, "lose this election badly."
If you're keeping score at home, the tally is Raghavan Mayur 2, Karl Rove zero.
A lot of people are walking into Raghavan Mayur’s office in Ramsey these days to ask how he conducts polls.
How did so many pollsters get the presidential election so wrong? The answer may involve shame, some of which belongs to research organizations themselves.
In the cornucopia of pro-Clinton polling that preceded the 2016 presidential election, two polls stood out as outliers: the USC/LA Times tracking poll and the Investor's Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll.
All night long, we heard the news networks talk about how "all" the polls and pundits were wrong. They were saying that Clinton is underperforming expectations, and voters were coming out for Trump in numbers no one had expected.
Hillary Clinton's edge over Donald Trump remained at 1 point – 45% to 44% – in a four-way race as Friday's latest revelations in the email scandal continued to shake the Clinton campaign, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll.
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump has all but disappeared since the email scandal exploded on the scene Friday. She currently holds a 1-point lead — 45% to 44% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Just two days ago, Clinton's lead over Trump had reached 4 points.
Hillary Clinton extended her lead over Donald Trump to three points in the latest IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll, 44%-41%, in a four-way race. She's also up three points unrounded, 43.8%-40.8%, up from 1.2 points the day before.
Hillary Clinton's lead widened to two percentage points over Donald Trump in the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll, with a 43% to 41% edge in a four-way matchup. But unrounded results using one more decimal point show Clinton with a smaller 1.2 percentage point lead, 42.6% to 41.4%.
Hillary Clinton maintained her lead over Donald Trump in the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll, but she is ahead by less than a full percentage point — 41.8% to 41.2% — in a four-way matchup. Libertarian Gary Johnson captures 8% of the vote, with Jill Stein down to 2.9%.
Most polls have painted an increasingly dire picture for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, but a newly launched daily poll has been finding a very different result: Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a dead heat heading into the final two weeks before the election.
Donald Trump expanded his lead over Hillary Clinton in a four-way race to two points, 42%-40%, in day 4 of the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll, with Trump moving past his Democratic rival in a head-to-head match-up for the first time.
Donald Trump held onto a 1-point, 41%-40% lead over Hillary Clinton as the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll showed little impact on either candidate after their third and final presidential debate Wednesday night. Libertarian Gary Johnson ticked up 1 point to 8%, while the Green Party's Jill Stein dropped a point to 4%.
Donald Trump’s lead among Republicans dropped six points in the days leading up to Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows.
Fully 69% of those following the Hillary Clinton email scandal want the Justice Department to appoint a special prosecutor to determine whether she mishandled classified information on the private email account she used while secretary of state, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll.
According to a new narrative promoted by the media, public opinion in America has exhibited a dramatic and irreversible shift toward liberalism on a number of contentious social issues.
