President Trump's coronavirus crisis bounce in popularity collapsed over the past month, the June IBD/TIPP Poll shows. Trump's job approval is at the lowest point in two years, while Americans now give him negative marks on handling the Covid-19 pandemic. Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in 2020 election polling, though only narrowly.
Joe Biden Vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 45%-42% among registered voters, after the two candidates were tied at 43% in May's poll.
Trump lost his 1-point edge among independents in May (36%-35%) and trails Biden by 5 points in the June IBD/TIPP Poll, 34%-39%.
Self-described investors now back Biden 46%-44%, after he trailed Trump by 43%-48% in the prior poll. That's despite further progress for the major averages over the past month in recovering from the coronavirus stock market crash. The Nasdaq composite has climbed to within 2% of its February record.
If there's good news for President Trump, it's that his head-to-head polling vs. Joe Biden hasn't taken nearly as big of a hit as his job approval.
Trump Job Approval
Despite the stock market rally and all 50 states making strides in reopening their economies, Trump is no longer benefiting from a "rally around the flag" effect, which comes as politicians find common cause and work together in moments of national crisis.
Trump has a net 13% disapproval rating among adults, with just 38% approval and 51% disapproval. Just a month ago, an even 44% approved and disapproved of Trump's performance.
Among registered voters, Trump has a net 10% disapproval rating, with 42% approval and 52% disapproval. That's a big comedown from May's net 2% approval rating, with 48% approving and 46% disapproving of Trump's job performance.
There is no shortage of possible explanations why Trump's popularity took a dive. Economic angst is running high as Americans adjust to the reality that the recovery won't happen quickly. Political division has reemerged, with nationwide protests over the death of George Floyd under the knee of a Minneapolis police officer. Trump has urged an aggressive response by law enforcement against looting and property destruction. Yet Attorney General Bill Barr ordered police to push back a crowd of peaceful demonstrators outside the White House to make way for Trump.
Trump Coronavirus Performance
Now Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of the coronavirus, 46% to 38%. A month ago, Americans narrowly approved of Trump's coronavirus stewardship, 41% to 39%. Even then, 52% of poll respondents saw Trump's early coronavirus efforts as ineffective and just 42% effective.
Americans still give Trump positive marks for his handling of the economy, with 46% approval and 37% disapproval. But that's a dramatic step back from the May poll, in which 50% applauded his economic leadership and just 28% gave him a poor grade.
The June IBD/TIPP Poll reflects an online survey of 1,233 adults from May 31 to June 3. The Trump-Biden 2020 presidential election poll reflects a subset of 964 registered voters. TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence shifted to an online poll amid the coronavirus pandemic. President Raghavan Mayur notes, "Panel samples are convenience samples and are not probability samples and hence the concept of margin of error does not apply. For guidance, a probability sample of similar size would have a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points at the 95% confidence level."
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