A couple of weeks before the 2016 presidential election, I wrote a column on a guy from Bergen County who has a well-deserved reputation as the most accurate predictor of presidential elections in this century.

At the time, Raghavan Mayur disagreed with his fellow pollsters who saw a Hillary Clinton victory in the offing. He told me that his polls said things were looking up for Donald Trump.

"You've got to keep in mind the intensity of Democrats is not as high as what Trump has," he said at the time. "Clinton is not able to excite the base as much as Obama was able to."

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